Can CeylanVienna-based, globally curious.
Articles/Finance & Investing

Finance & Investing

Markets, crypto, private equity, and the psychology of capital. Personal opinion, not financial advice.

3 articles


The Strait of Hormuz Is Technically 'Open' — The Market Believes It, The Ships Don't

A ceasefire agreement and a 95% drop in active transits are both true at the same time — and markets are only pricing in one of them.

2026-04-10

The AI Short I Thought of Too Late (And Why It Still Makes Sense)

A conversation with Gemini made me realise the most obvious trade of the AI era was hiding in plain sight — and it's not Nvidia.

2026-04-05

Why I Can't Buy a Piece of OpenAI — And Why That's a Problem

VCX went from $40 to $550 in days on NYSE. I watched it from Vienna. I couldn't buy a single share — not because I don't understand the risks, but because MiFID II says no.

2026-03-22

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